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Gamestop (GME) Lessons for the SIE, Series 7, 65, and 66

With all that’s currently going on in the stock market, our FINRA expert Brandon Rith thought it might be helpful to create a video dedicated to the Gamestop situation. While a good chunk of the video describes and goes over the situation, he makes sure to highlight the lessons we can learn for purposes of …
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Gamestop (GME) Lessons for the SIE, Series 7, 65, and 66
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    With all that’s currently going on in the stock market, our FINRA expert Brandon Rith thought it might be helpful to create a video dedicated to the Gamestop situation. While a good chunk of the video describes and goes over the situation, he makes sure to highlight the lessons we can learn for purposes of FINRA exams like the SIE and Series 7.


    This video is a bit more on the informal side, especially compared to our other videos. Hope you enjoy this video commentary on the Gamestop (GME) situation!



    If you’re looking for a comprehensive course to pass the SIE or Series 7, check out Achievable’s modern FINRA test prep! You can try our Series 7 practice exam FINRA to get a sense for our style.


    Full transcript follows:


    00:00
    let's talk about what's going on with
    00:02
    gamestop and
    00:03
    actually learn some lessons that we
    00:05
    could apply to finance licensing exams
    00:07
    like the sie
    00:09
    series 7 65 or 66. now before we get
    00:12
    started just a quick five second promo
    00:14
    if you're looking for tutoring services
    00:16
    on finance licensing exams check out my
    00:18
    company
    00:18
    basic wisdom and if you're looking for a
    00:20
    learning program for the sie
    00:22
    series 7 or 63 look for achievable the
    00:25
    links are in the description below
    00:27
    go check it out now back to gamestop for
    00:30
    the uninformed and for those of us who
    00:32
    have been living under a rock
    00:33
    uh not paying attention to the stock
    00:35
    market there's something incredible
    00:37
    happening in the market that we've
    00:38
    really never seen before
    00:40
    gamestop and yes this is the company
    00:42
    that you've probably seen in a strip
    00:44
    mall where you go buy video games
    00:46
    gamestop symbol gme
    00:48
    has risen from roughly 20 per share in
    00:50
    market price in early january 2021
    00:53
    to a high price as of today wednesday
    00:56
    january 27th
    00:57
    at 380 dollars per share that's
    01:00
    roughly a 1 800 return in less than a
    01:04
    month
    01:05
    incredible is not a good enough word to
    01:06
    explain what's going on with this
    01:08
    just to put this in perspective a
    01:10
    hundred dollar investment in gme
    01:12
    at 20 bucks would have bought you about
    01:14
    five shares and that total hundred
    01:16
    dollars that you
    01:17
    invested in early in january would have
    01:19
    turned into 1
    01:20
    900 today at its high it really is
    01:23
    difficult to explain
    01:25
    how big of a return that is but for
    01:27
    perspective
    01:28
    the s p 500 which tracks the market
    01:31
    prices of 500 very large us-based
    01:34
    companies
    01:34
    typically rises by around 10 percent on
    01:37
    an annual basis
    01:39
    10 so basically gamestop stock
    01:42
    just made 180 years worth of s
    01:45
    p 500 returns in less than a month now
    01:48
    is this the first time anything like
    01:50
    this has happened in the stock market
    01:52
    no it's not in any given year you can
    01:55
    find some stock that has performed
    01:57
    equally if not better than what we're
    02:00
    seeing currently with gamestop
    02:01
    usually you'll find these in the penny
    02:03
    stock market
    02:04
    and in case you don't know penny stocks
    02:06
    are unlisted stocks that means that they
    02:08
    do not trade on
    02:09
    a national big exchange like the new
    02:11
    york stock exchange or nasdaq
    02:13
    so there are unlisted stocks that trade
    02:15
    in the otc markets
    02:17
    below five dollars per share relatively
    02:20
    unknown or
    02:20
    financially distressed companies
    02:22
    typically make up the bulk of the penny
    02:24
    stock market
    02:25
    and yeah there's a lot of risk in this
    02:27
    market but
    02:28
    with risk comes return potential let's
    02:30
    look at two stocks from 2020 that
    02:32
    actually had better returns than what
    02:34
    we're currently seeing with gamestop
    02:36
    first let's look at vax art vax art is a
    02:38
    pharmaceutical company
    02:40
    that went from a low price of 30 cents
    02:42
    per share on january 3rd 2020 to a high
    02:45
    price of 17.49 on july 14
    02:49
    2020. now if you were somehow lucky
    02:51
    enough to buy at the absolute low price
    02:53
    and then sell at the absolute high price
    02:56
    that would have been a 5
    02:57
    700 return another example is novavax
    03:01
    another pharmaceutical type company
    03:03
    which went from a low price
    03:04
    of 3.65 cents per share on january 13
    03:08
    2020 to a high price of 189.40
    03:12
    on august 10 2020. buying at the low and
    03:15
    selling at the high with novavax would
    03:17
    have resulted in a 5089 percent return
    03:20
    incredible these are just two examples
    03:23
    of stocks that had a better return back
    03:25
    in 2020 than what we're currently seeing
    03:26
    with gamestop
    03:28
    so why is everyone talking about
    03:30
    gamestop why is it all over the news
    03:32
    while the incredible increase in their
    03:34
    stock price is certainly newsworthy
    03:36
    it's not just the increase we're paying
    03:38
    attention to it's the reason for that
    03:40
    increase that's really breaking news
    03:42
    right now now going back to vax art
    03:44
    vaxxart saw a high price in july of 2020
    03:47
    and
    03:48
    at the time there was a reason for that
    03:50
    increase it was because the us
    03:52
    government had just adopted their oral
    03:54
    covit vaccine to be a part of operation
    03:56
    warp speed
    03:57
    not only was the company in line to
    03:59
    receive a bunch of government funding
    04:00
    but this was also a signal that they
    04:02
    might have a vaccine that the private
    04:04
    markets
    04:04
    might want in the future this was huge
    04:07
    news at the time and the main primary
    04:09
    reason why we saw such an increase in
    04:10
    their stock price
    04:11
    and actually the same exact thing
    04:13
    happened in novavax as well
    04:16
    the important point that i'm trying to
    04:17
    get across here is that there were
    04:19
    legitimate fundamental reasons for a
    04:21
    spike in both
    04:22
    the stock prices and when i say
    04:24
    fundamental i mean characteristics or
    04:26
    information relating to the company's
    04:28
    business
    04:29
    fundamental analysis of any given stock
    04:32
    usually involves inspecting things like
    04:34
    product lines sales costs of doing
    04:37
    business
    04:38
    debt levels revenue growth and even
    04:41
    looking at the people running a company
    04:42
    and of course there were some really
    04:44
    good reasons that related to fundamental
    04:46
    analysis
    04:47
    that resulted in both those stock prices
    04:49
    going up
    04:50
    now quickly back to gamestop did
    04:52
    gamestop have some kind of
    04:54
    fundamental event that influenced their
    04:56
    market price because of something going
    04:58
    on with the company
    04:59
    not really there was one thing that
    05:01
    occurred that we could point to
    05:03
    now in early january it was announced
    05:05
    that ryan cohen who was
    05:07
    a co-founder of the successful company
    05:09
    chewie and also some other
    05:11
    former executives from the same company
    05:13
    they joined gamestop's board of
    05:14
    directors
    05:15
    after gaining a large position in the
    05:17
    company stock while it's always good
    05:19
    news to add
    05:20
    really smart intelligent people with
    05:22
    great business track records to your
    05:24
    board of directors
    05:25
    given that the board of directors are
    05:26
    basically responsible for the overall
    05:28
    direction of a company
    05:30
    that in itself is some news that should
    05:32
    influence the stock price
    05:34
    but things like this have happened in
    05:36
    the past to other publicly traded
    05:38
    companies and we typically see a
    05:40
    moderate increase in their stock price
    05:42
    maybe in one day
    05:44
    so while we might be able to attribute
    05:46
    some of the increase in gamestop's
    05:48
    market price
    05:49
    to the addition of those board members
    05:51
    there's no way that we could say it
    05:53
    solely because of that reason
    05:55
    in fact i would say it's a very very
    05:57
    small reason why we're seeing such an
    05:59
    increase in the stock price now beyond
    06:01
    this event were there
    06:03
    any other company specific things that
    06:05
    occurred that we could attribute to its
    06:07
    huge bull run here recently no
    06:10
    not really in fact gamestop honestly
    06:14
    seems like a below average company at
    06:16
    best at least from a fundamental
    06:18
    standpoint the company has a
    06:20
    ton of debt in fact they have twice as
    06:22
    much long-term debt as they have
    06:24
    equity meaning that they owe twice as
    06:26
    much money over a long-term period as
    06:28
    the current
    06:29
    net worth of the company they currently
    06:31
    are losing the equivalent of over four
    06:33
    thousand dollars per employee on an
    06:35
    annual basis
    06:36
    and yeah their revenue looks good but
    06:38
    remember revenue only
    06:40
    measures sales it doesn't factor in cost
    06:42
    of goods sold
    06:43
    operating expenses debt payments or
    06:46
    taxes
    06:46
    anything along those lines the company
    06:48
    doesn't even have a p e ratio which is
    06:50
    the price to earnings ratio
    06:52
    because the company doesn't have
    06:53
    earnings earnings are another way of
    06:55
    saying net profits
    06:56
    so basically gamestop is making revenue
    06:59
    but the cost of running their business
    07:01
    is so high that they're actually losing
    07:03
    money
    07:03
    now could we attribute some if not most
    07:06
    of those losses to kovid
    07:08
    i think you can make that argument right
    07:09
    i mean fewer people are going out to
    07:11
    stores and buying things in stores and
    07:13
    you know a brick and mortar store like
    07:15
    gamestop is gonna hurt from something
    07:17
    like that
    07:17
    but let's be honest with ourselves brick
    07:20
    and mortar stores
    07:22
    across the board have been losing a
    07:24
    significant amount of market share
    07:26
    to the digital marketplace although
    07:28
    gamestop has been
    07:29
    attempting to build an internet presence
    07:31
    the reality is their current business
    07:33
    model is primarily focused on those
    07:35
    in-store sales
    07:37
    and that's why they're hurting even
    07:38
    before kovit i mean
    07:40
    i don't know about you but i haven't
    07:41
    been to a gamestop in over a decade
    07:43
    and yeah that's anecdotal but you know i
    07:46
    it feels like to me like this is a
    07:47
    business on the decline
    07:49
    i could be wrong so bottom line my
    07:51
    analysis of gamestop is
    07:53
    it's a decent company at best that's
    07:56
    trying to modernize their business model
    07:58
    in the midst of a pandemic that's
    08:00
    currently destroying their profits
    08:02
    does this sound like a company that
    08:03
    should be seeing a 1
    08:05
    800 gain in its stock price in less than
    08:08
    a month
    08:08
    not by any historical means or measures
    08:11
    doesn't make any sense
    08:13
    now game stops rise is all about market
    08:16
    psychology
    08:17
    at the end of the day there's really
    08:18
    only one thing that drives stock prices
    08:21
    and that's demand if market demand for a
    08:24
    specific stock increases
    08:26
    so will its stock price no matter how
    08:28
    silly or foolish it might seem on the
    08:30
    surface
    08:31
    traditional wall street players like the
    08:33
    hedge funds melvin capital and citron
    08:35
    research had recently been
    08:37
    waging a short sale war on gamestop
    08:40
    for good reason in case you don't know a
    08:42
    hedge fund is like a mutual fund but for
    08:44
    really wealthy investors
    08:46
    it's basically a big account that's
    08:47
    managed by seemingly smart managers with
    08:50
    tons of experience and knowledge and
    08:52
    they take their wealthy investors money
    08:54
    and put it into the market
    08:55
    and typically they they approach the
    08:57
    market from a pretty aggressive
    08:58
    standpoint
    08:59
    and a short sale is when an investor
    09:01
    borrows a security
    09:02
    immediately sells that security and then
    09:05
    buys it back in the future
    09:06
    let's see if we can put short
     sales in
    09:08
    context so that you understand it a
    09:10
    little bit better
    09:11
    especially if you're struggling with it
    09:12
    right now let's assume a hypothetical
    09:14
    hedge fund
    09:15
    shorts gme stock in early january when
    09:17
    it was roughly 20 bucks a share
    09:19
    they would have to find a source to
    09:21
    borrow a ton of shares from
    09:23
    sell those shares immediately at 20
    09:24
    bucks and effectively bet on the
    09:26
    company's market price falling
    09:28
    dramatically
    09:28
    and if they were right they could make a
    09:30
    considerable profit let's say
    09:32
    in a parallel universe somewhere else
    09:35
    that gamestop stock instead of going up
    09:38
    went down in fact let's say it went all
    09:39
    the way down to a dollar per share
    09:41
    to close out the short position the
    09:43
    hedge fund would have to buy those
    09:45
    shares back and give those shares back
    09:47
    to
    09:47
    the broker or financial institution they
    09:49
    originally borrowed their shares from
    09:51
    and that closes the position short
    09:53
    selling is basically
    09:54
    backwards investing where you're selling
    09:57
    first and buying back later but at the
    09:58
    end of the day we always want to buy
    10:00
    low sell high that's how we make money
    10:02
    in finance
    10:03
    let's keep going and assign some numbers
    10:06
    to this example so that we can better
    10:08
    understand the profit potential for a
    10:10
    short sale let's assume our hypothetical
    10:12
    hedge fund
    10:13
    sold short a million shares originally
    10:15
    at that 20
    10:16
    price that would have resulted in 20
    10:19
    million dollars in what we call
    10:21
    sales proceeds buying back the stock at
    10:23
    a dollar per share
    10:24
    would have resulted in a million dollars
    10:26
    being spent on that stock
    10:28
    or another way of saying establishing a
    10:30
    million dollar cost
    10:31
    basis once you have the cost basis and
    10:34
    the sales proceeds of any given
    10:35
    investment you can figure out what the
    10:37
    profit or loss is
    10:38
    and in this example the hedge fund would
    10:40
    have made 19 million dollars
    10:42
    on their investment that's a huge return
    10:44
    hedge funds have been performing trades
    10:46
    like this for decades and
    10:47
    and sometimes they make some pretty
    10:49
    incredible returns
    10:50
    on aggressive moves like this but you
    10:53
    and i know that's not what happened
    10:55
    so let's go ahead and wipe our
    10:57
    hypothetical example
    10:58
    and let's actually talk about what
    11:00
    actually happened to gamestop stock
    11:02
    well their stock price didn't fall you
    11:05
    know i'll quote read it on this
    11:06
    it blasted to the moon it reached a high
    11:09
    price of 380 dollars per share
    11:11
    as of today and we can mostly thank
    11:14
    reddit for that push
    11:15
    if you haven't heard of reddit it's
    11:17
    basically a big message board where
    11:19
    people post articles and comment on
    11:21
    those articles etc and
    11:23
    r wall street bets is a subreddit within
    11:26
    the same website that's dedicated to
    11:28
    discussing
    11:29
    stock market investments that are
    11:31
    usually ultra aggressive and risky
    11:33
    and the general sentiment on wall street
    11:36
    bets was they were taking it pretty
    11:37
    personal
    11:38
    that these large hedge funds were
    11:40
    betting heavily against gamestop
    11:42
    this entire trend started with a random
    11:45
    reddit user back in 2019
    11:46
    and it culminated in basically an entire
    11:49
    internet movement filled with tweets and
    11:51
    memes and even some comments from elon
    11:53
    musk
    11:54
    somehow a seemingly organic online
    11:57
    movement took
    11:57
    off and people across the internet began
    12:00
    piling money into gme stock and the
    12:02
    higher the stock price is gone
    12:04
    the more excitement that's built around
    12:06
    this stock and of course
    12:07
    this resulted in the price absolutely
    12:10
    skyrocketing from a low of around twenty
    12:12
    dollars per share
    12:13
    earlier in january this month to three
    12:16
    hundred and eighty dollar high
    12:17
    today january 27th now let's go ahead
    12:20
    and frame this
    12:21
    to better understand how much say a
    12:24
    hypothetical hedge fund could lose if
    12:26
    they were
    12:26
    short this stock let's again assume that
    12:29
    our hypothetical hedge funds sold short
    12:31
    1 million shares at 20 per share this
    12:34
    again would result in 20 million dollars
    12:36
    of sales proceeds
    12:38
    let's assume unfortunately for the
    12:40
    hypothetical hedge fund
    12:42
    that they bought back the stock to close
    12:44
    their short position
    12:45
    when it reached its high of 380 dollars
    12:48
    per share
    12:48
    this would have resulted in a 380
    12:51
    million dollar cost
    12:53
    basis and let's go ahead and compare the
    12:55
    two numbers together sales proceeds of
    12:57
    20 million
    12:57
    cost basis of 380 million that's a 360
    13:01
    million dollar
    13:02
    loss from their original 20 million
    13:04
    dollar short position
    13:06
    and if that hedge fund continued to hold
    13:08
    the stock and it continued to rise
    13:10
    that loss gets bigger and bigger and
    13:12
    bigger now with all that being said
    13:15
    let's take five lessons away from
    13:17
    everything that's been happening
    13:18
    related to gamestop the first lesson for
    13:21
    us the dynamics of short selling
    13:23
    selling short involves borrowing shares
    13:26
    and selling those shares
    13:27
    and hoping that the market price falls
    13:29
    so that you can later buy it back at a
    13:31
    lower price
    13:32
    and make a profit of course you can lose
    13:35
    an incredible amount of money as the
    13:36
    market goes up because yeah you have to
    13:38
    buy that stock back in the future
    13:40
    the higher the market goes the more
    13:41
    losses you have in front of you
    13:43
    and that is unlimited lost potential
    13:45
    bottom line
    13:46
    short selling is a very risky investment
    13:49
    strategy
    13:50
    if a suitability based question pops up
    13:52
    on a
    13:53
    finance licensing exam short selling
    13:55
    could actually be a part of that
    13:56
    question
    13:57
    be sure you know an action like this
    13:59
    should only be recommended to your most
    14:01
    sophisticated
    14:02
    clients who hopefully know what they're
    14:04
    doing and can fully understand the risk
    14:06
    they're getting into
    14:06
    in fact i'd go as far to say that making
    14:09
    a recommendation of a short sale is
    14:10
    probably going to be a wrong answer
    14:12
    99 times out of 100 but there could be a
    14:15
    situation where recommending a short
    14:17
    sale to the right type of investor
    14:19
    could actually make sense lesson number
    14:21
    two short squeezes
    14:23
    now just so you know on most fenra or
    14:25
    nasa exams the term short squeeze is not
    14:28
    going to show up on your exam
    14:29
    although it's technically possible
    14:31
    however some things related to short
    14:33
    squeezes and
    14:34
    understanding the general dynamics that
    14:36
    occur with a large short position
    14:38
    all that is potentially testable a short
    14:40
    squeeze occurs when a number of
    14:42
    investors with short positions
    14:44
    are effectively forced to buy back their
    14:47
    stock
    14:47
    short positions always have to take
    14:49
    place in margin accounts
    14:51
    which are accounts that involve
    14:53
    borrowing capital of some form
    14:55
    in the case of a short sale investors
    14:57
    are borrowing shares of stock that they
    14:59
    must
    14:59
    buy back and return in the future when
    15:02
    an investor holds a margin position
    15:04
    you better believe the brokerage firm
    15:06
    holding their account will
    15:07
    pay close attention to the gains and
    15:09
    losses in particular the losses of that
    15:12
    account if they occur
    15:13
    think about it this way if i were to
    15:15
    sell short gme stock
    15:17
    and i borrowed that stock from you you
    15:20
    might be concerned about the
    15:22
    prospect of never getting that stock
    15:24
    back from me
    15:25
    now of course we have an agreement i
    15:27
    borrowed shares i
    15:28
    sold those shares and i have to buy
    15:30
    those shares back and give those shares
    15:31
    back to you at some point time in the
    15:33
    future
    15:33
    but what if i run out of money what if i
    15:36
    go bankrupt
    15:37
    well that's a huge problem for you in
    15:39
    that case you
    15:40
    lent me shares that rose significantly
    15:43
    in value
    15:43
    and i was unable to give you their
    15:45
    shares back these are the concerns of
    15:47
    financial institutions and brokerage
    15:49
    firms when they lend out securities to
    15:51
    their customers
    15:52
    whenever a brokerage firm is concerned
    15:54
    about something like this
    15:55
    possibly occurring they are likely to
    15:58
    institute a margin
    15:59
    call margin calls typically require
    16:01
    investors to do one of two things
    16:03
    either to deposit more cash in the
    16:06
    account to prove that they can continue
    16:07
    to withstand the losses they're seeing
    16:09
    or to close out their position so these
    16:12
    hedge funds that were shorting
    16:14
    gamestop stock they were assumptively
    16:16
    losing millions if not
    16:18
    billions of dollars on the price rising
    16:20
    and the financial institutions
    16:22
    lending them those shares i assume sent
    16:24
    them a margin call
    16:25
    if those hedge funds don't have a bunch
    16:27
    of money lying around that they can post
    16:29
    to their account to show that they can
    16:30
    withstand those losses
    16:32
    they would be forced to buy back the
    16:34
    stock and close out that short position
    16:36
    and you might already be thinking this
    16:38
    but the repurchase of those shares
    16:40
    introduces additional demand for that
    16:43
    stock in the market
    16:44
    the additional demand added fuel to the
    16:46
    fire and we saw
    16:48
    gme stock price skyrocket even further
    16:50
    this leads us to lesson number three
    16:52
    which is
    16:53
    short interest theory short interest is
    16:55
    a measurement
    16:56
    of the number of shares that are
    16:58
    currently being sold short as compared
    17:00
    to the shares outstanding
    17:02
    as of december 31st 2020 102
    17:06
    of game stops outstanding shares or over
    17:09
    200 of their float have been sold short
    17:11
    for purposes of finra
    17:13
    or nasa exams you don't need to know the
    17:16
    specifics about these numbers or
    17:18
    or how more shares can be sold short
    17:20
    than there are actually outstanding
    17:22
    shares
    17:22
    don't worry about that all you need to
    17:24
    know is that is a crazy high
    17:26
    short interest and for context let's go
    17:29
    ahead and look up
    17:30
    apple's short interests look at that
    17:32
    less than one percent
    17:34
    obviously there aren't many people
    17:35
    betting against apple at the moment
    17:37
    probably for good reason the super high
    17:40
    short interest on gamestop can be
    17:42
    related to a theory
    17:43
    and that's the short interest theory
    17:45
    short interest theory is considered a
    17:46
    type of technical analysis theory which
    17:49
    only focuses on the dynamics of the
    17:50
    stock market and generally speaking
    17:52
    ignores company fundamentals
    17:54
    the theory states that the higher the
    17:57
    short interest on the stock
    17:58
    the more bullish an investor should be
    18:00
    on that stock
    18:01
    and normally this is a pretty
    18:03
    counter-intuitive theory right
    18:05
    why would anyone be super bullish on an
    18:08
    investment
    18:08
    that has a large number of investors
    18:10
    betting against it well
    18:12
    gamestop is the perfect example as to
    18:14
    why
    18:15
    eventually all those short sellers will
    18:17
    be forced to buy back their positions
    18:20
    which will introduce more demand to the
    18:22
    market resulting in a higher market
    18:24
    price
    18:25
    and the repurchase of those shares can
    18:27
    be accelerated due to a short squeeze
    18:29
    if there's a massive increase of the
    18:31
    stock price on its own
    18:33
    the same gamestop investors are already
    18:35
    looking at other opportunities
    18:37
    by seeking out companies with high short
    18:39
    interest and that's
    18:40
    maybe why you've heard a little bit
    18:41
    about bed bath and beyond recently
    18:44
    all right lesson number four the market
    18:46
    is driven
    18:47
    solely by demand while investors
    18:50
    traditionally seek out
    18:52
    successful companies with growing
    18:53
    revenue and good business models
    18:55
    we are quickly entering into a new era
    18:57
    of investing
    18:58
    gamestop seems like a pretty bad
    19:01
    investment through a traditional lens
    19:03
    but at the end of the day does it really
    19:05
    matter
    19:06
    no if the market is overwhelmed by
    19:08
    demand stock prices will rise
    19:10
    no matter what no matter how much debt a
    19:12
    company has
    19:13
    no matter how much money they're losing
    19:15
    no matter how bad the situation might
    19:17
    look for the company
    19:18
    if there's more demand to buy the stock
    19:20
    than the supply out there to sell the
    19:22
    stock
    19:22
    then hey stock price is going up that
    19:25
    simple
    19:26
    and now to our last lesson lesson number
    19:28
    five
    19:29
    the stock market can be extremely
    19:31
    volatile
    19:32
    now this isn't always the case on any
    19:35
    given day
    19:36
    the stock market is usually fairly flat
    19:38
    and
    19:39
    not so exciting however volatility
    19:42
    meaning
    19:42
    wild swings in price both upward and
    19:44
    downward this can happen at any given
    19:46
    time
    19:47
    just to prove this let's jump into a
    19:49
    made up time machine and go back to
    19:51
    january 1st 2021.
    19:53
    did you have any idea that gamestop
    19:55
    would be going through this
    19:57
    of course there are probably a small
    19:58
    number of people especially on wall
    20:00
    street bets that had
    20:02
    suspicions or hopes that this would
    20:03
    happen but i can tell you as someone
    20:05
    that studies the market on an everyday
    20:07
    basis
    20:08
    i had no idea this was right around the
    20:10
    corner and i would assume that's the
    20:11
    case from the majority of americans
    20:14
    the volatility we're seeing with
    20:16
    gamestop is benefiting smaller investors
    20:18
    which
    20:19
    is great in my opinion hedge funds
    20:21
    historically have been making
    20:22
    millions and millions of dollars for
    20:24
    their wealthier investors so this
    20:26
    definitely is a win for the small
    20:28
    investor
    20:28
    however volatility usually works against
    20:31
    not only the small investor but most
    20:34
    investors there have been two
    20:35
    big events in recent history where we've
    20:37
    seen volatility levels go
    20:39
    off the charts and that was the great
    20:41
    recession
    20:42
    caused primarily by the real estate
    20:44
    market back in 2008 and in march 2020
    20:47
    when we saw the
    20:48
    covid stock market crash in both
    20:50
    instances the stock market
    20:52
    experienced incredible levels of market
    20:54
    risk which is the risk that an
    20:56
    event or circumstance drives the prices
    20:59
    of generally speaking
    21:00
    most things in the market downward from
    21:02
    october 2007 to march 2009
    21:05
    the s p 500 lost almost half of its
    21:08
    value
    21:08
    due to the housing crisis and from late
    21:11
    february to march
    21:12
    2020 the s p 500 lost nearly 34 percent
    21:15
    of its value during the initial stages
    21:17
    of covid
    21:17
    whether it's gamestop the housing crisis
    21:20
    or kovid
    21:21
    these are events that seemingly came out
    21:23
    of nowhere for the most part
    21:25
    stock market volatility is something
    21:27
    every investor with a position in the
    21:29
    stock market
    21:30
    must contend with and eventually embrace
    21:32
    that's why we consider it unethical
    21:35
    for you as a financial representative to
    21:37
    recommend significant investments in
    21:39
    stocks to older investors or those
    21:41
    looking to avoid risk
    21:43
    additionally that's why many investors
    21:46
    and advisors
    21:47
    utilize the rule of 100 when determining
    21:49
    a portfolio's allocation
    21:51
    you take a person's age and subtract it
    21:53
    from 100 and that'll tell you what
    21:55
    percentage of their assets
    21:56
    should be dedicated to the stock market
    21:59
    for example
    22:00
    a 20 year old could put 80 percent of
    22:02
    their portfolio into the stock market
    22:04
    and this would be considered suitable
    22:06
    for an average person at that age
    22:08
    now honestly you know a 20 year old that
    22:11
    has anything in investments probably has
    22:13
    their entire
    22:14
    portfolio in the stock market and that's
    22:16
    to be expected
    22:17
    now let's compare that to the average 70
    22:19
    year old which
    22:21
    using the rule of 100 should allocate
    22:23
    somewhere around
    22:24
    30 percent of their portfolio to the
    22:25
    stock market with the other seventy
    22:28
    percent of their investments going into
    22:29
    safer investments like fixed income or
    22:32
    cash
    22:32
    if you were seven years old retired
    22:35
    living on a fixed income from your
    22:37
    retirement plans
    22:38
    or social security would you want to get
    22:40
    caught up in this mess
    22:41
    while gamestop's stock price is
    22:44
    skyrocketing and
    22:45
    and all their investors owning stock are
    22:47
    feeling great right now
    22:49
    here's a reality check eventually the
    22:52
    excitement
    22:52
    surrounding gamestop will subside and
    22:55
    its price will come down considerably
    22:57
    and a large portion of current gamestop
    23:00
    investors
    23:01
    are going to lose a considerable amount
    23:03
    of money when that occurs
    23:04
    if they stay in the investment too long
    23:07
    and if you're older and don't have a ton
    23:08
    of time to make up
    23:10
    significant investment losses you should
    23:12
    stay far away from investments like
    23:14
    gamestop
    23:14
    you might have all the fomo in the world
    23:17
    but high levels of return
    23:19
    are really only capable when you're
    23:21
    embracing high levels of risk
    23:23
    and that's how the stock market works
    23:24
    all right those are your five lessons
    23:27
    that we could take away from everything
    23:28
    going on with gamestop you know thanks
    23:30
    so much for watching this video that
    23:32
    this is definitely kind of a break away
    23:33
    from what i normally do
    23:35
    i'm sure it feels a lot more informal
    23:37
    than my normal videos and i'm interested
    23:39
    in your feedback
    23:40
    if you like this video and feel like it
    23:42
    helped you connect some of these
    23:44
    kind of more obscure ideas and the
    23:45
    material to what's actually happening in
    23:47
    the real world i i would love to make
    23:48
    more videos like this
    23:50
    please give me feedback whether you like
    23:52
    it or you don't whatever
    23:53
    leave a comment you can go to my website
    23:56
    basicwisdom.net and and get my contact
    23:58
    information through to those means
    24:00
    any of that stuff works also as a
    24:02
    reminder my partners and i are offering
    24:04
    achievable which is that learning
    24:05
    program for the sie series seven and
    24:08
    will soon have a program for the series
    24:09
    63.
    24:10
    i have lots of examples and the reading
    24:12
    materials for
    24:13
    achievable that relate to the real world
    24:15
    just like this and anytime i see that
    24:17
    there's an opportunity to connect
    24:19
    the difficult things that we have in the
    24:21
    material to some more understandable
    24:23
    things that are happening in the real
    24:24
    world
    24:24
    i think that's a great opportunity to
    24:26
    help people connect ideas
    24:27
    so if this is the way you learn check
    24:30
    out achievable
    24:30
    again the links are below in the video
    24:32
    description thanks so much for watching
    24:35
    i appreciate it and i'll see you next
    24:44
    time

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